Argentinos Juniors 3-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.45
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
8%
6.83
X/X
17%
3.42
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
6.15
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.39/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.35
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 68%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.6 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Platense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
372 Passes 151
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
03.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
28.08.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
03.05.2022 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
19.09.2021 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
21.02.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3-1
AWAY Platense
1.20 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
228 Passes 219
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors saw off Platense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) promised a tight game; Argentinos Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 49% of the ball to Platense's 51%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.20 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.67 for Platense.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Platense?

Argentinos Juniors 3-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 40%, draw 32%, Platense 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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