Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Feb 2024

Defensa y Justicia
1-1 HT 0-1
Deportivo Riestra
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
14%
3.85
X/2
6%
9.05
X/X
13%
4.33
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
7.66
2/X
8%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.66/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.12
+15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.5 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.66 xG 0.69
77% Ball Possession 23%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
472 Passes 76
85% Pass Accuracy 45%
36 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 77% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 23%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.66 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Riestra 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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