Bournemouth 0-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
31%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.87
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
13%
3.88
X/2 EV+ ✓
14%
11.75
X/X
14%
6.54
2/1
6%
20.3
2/2
9%
8.42
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · X/2 at 11.75 — our 14% vs market 5.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+13.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.40/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.71
-30% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
35.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leicester City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 1.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 413
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
08.10.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
12.07.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
31.08.2019 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 2-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
30.03.2019 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
15.09.2018 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-2 HT 3-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
0-1
AWAY Leicester City
2.49 xG 2.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
27 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 5
411 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
43 Box Touches 29
36 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bournemouth had 49% of the ball to Leicester City's 51%, shots finished 27-22, expected goals 2.49 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bournemouth and 1.50 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Leicester City?

Bournemouth 0-1 Leicester City in the England - FA Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 44%, draw 26%, Leicester City 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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