İngiltere (K) vs İtalya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İngiltere (K) v İtalya (K) — Team-Based Signals
İngiltere (K) vs İtalya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
İtalya (K)
KACK
1-1
HT 0-0
İtalya (K)
HAZ
İngiltere (K) 5-1 İtalya (K) — Actual Match Statistics
İngiltere (K) ran out comfortable winners over İtalya (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had İngiltere (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, İngiltere (K) had 69% of the ball to İtalya (K)'s 31%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 4.50 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İngiltere (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İngiltere (K) and 1.00 for İtalya (K).
What was the final score of İngiltere (K) vs İtalya (K)?
İngiltere (K) 5-1 İtalya (K) in the Friendlies on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İngiltere (K) vs İtalya (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split İngiltere (K) 61%, draw 20%, İtalya (K) 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.