Bologna vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bologna v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bologna 2-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna squeezed past Milan 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
From a near-even 37% / 26% / 37% read, it was Bologna who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 50%. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Bologna had 57% of the ball to Milan's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.08 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bologna's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bologna and 1.83 for Milan.
Bologna vs Milan Result & Final Score
Bologna 2-1 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bologna vs Milan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bologna 37%, draw 26%, Milan 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.