Milan vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Milan
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
2-4
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
Milan 2-2 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Milan and Bologna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Milan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Milan had 50% of the ball to Bologna's 50%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 3.28 to 1.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Milan and 0.67 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Milan vs Bologna?
Milan 2-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Milan 49%, draw 27%, Bologna 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.