Atalanta 2-0 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Jan 2024

Atalanta
2-0 HT 2-0
Udinese
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Atalanta vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
14%
3.69
X/2
8%
11.75
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.75
2/2
10%
9.08
2/X
8%
17.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-9.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atalanta v Udinese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.94/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.76
+18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.2 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Atalanta vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Udinese
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
477 Passes 283
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.03.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
09.10.2022 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
09.01.2022 Udinese Udinese 2-6 HT 0-3 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
24.10.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.04.2021 Atalanta Atalanta 3-2 HT 2-1 Udinese Udinese İTA

Atalanta 2-0 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
2-0
AWAY Udinese
1.15 xG 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
439 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta got the better of Udinese 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atalanta had 59% of the ball to Udinese's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.15 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atalanta and 1.33 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Udinese?

Atalanta 2-0 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 52%, draw 24%, Udinese 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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