Juventus 1-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
24%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
25.0
X/1
16%
3.17
X/2
12%
20.35
X/X
8%
6.4
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
7%
18.5
2/X
6%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
9%
+14.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.94/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.84
-3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
436 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.7 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Empoli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.15 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
357 Passes 367
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
22.05.2023 Empoli Empoli 4-1 HT 2-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.10.2022 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
26.02.2022 Empoli Empoli 2-3 HT 1-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
28.08.2021 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
30.03.2019 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
1-1
AWAY Empoli
0.82 xG 0.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
333 Passes 567
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Empoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Juventus at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Juventus had 39% of the ball to Empoli's 61%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.82 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Juventus and 1.17 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Empoli?

Juventus 1-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Juventus 55%, draw 22%, Empoli 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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