Werder Bremen II 1-2 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
2.32/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.62
+48% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-3 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
23.02.2014 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg nicked a narrow win over Werder Bremen II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.40 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Werder Bremen II 1-2 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 42%, draw 26%, VfB Oldenburg 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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