Aguia de Maraba 0-8 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-17.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.5pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguia de Maraba EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 75%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.09/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.49
-28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +0%
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 87%
3.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
4.0 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguia de Maraba
0-8
AWAY Fluminense
0.08 xG 3.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
2 Total Shots 33
0 Shots on Target 16
1 Corners 11
301 Passes 582
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Crosses 34
POST-MATCH Aguia de Maraba vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense ran out comfortable winners over Aguia de Maraba 8-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aguia de Maraba had 36% of the ball to Fluminense's 64%, shots finished 2-33, expected goals 0.08 to 3.34.

What was the final score of Aguia de Maraba vs Fluminense?

Aguia de Maraba 0-8 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguia de Maraba vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aguia de Maraba 20%, draw 26%, Fluminense 54%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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