CSE 1-3 Tombense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

CSE
1-3 HT 0-2
Tombense
📅27/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSE EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tombense EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSE
1-3
AWAY Tombense
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH CSE vs Tombense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tombense saw off CSE 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tombense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSE had 60% of the ball to Tombense's 40%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of CSE vs Tombense?

CSE 1-3 Tombense in the Brazil - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSE vs Tombense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tombense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CSE 31%, draw 28%, Tombense 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tombense) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tombense) ✗ Under 2.5
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