Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-2 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.58
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.22
Over 2.5
27%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.6
No
72%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.58
2-3 Goals
34%
1.93
4-5 Goals
11%
9.2
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.7pp
28%
Draw
36%
-7.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
73%
Under 2.5
78%
-5.0pp
27%
Over 2.5
22%
+5.1pp
28%
BTTS Yes
34%
-6.2pp
72%
BTTS No
66%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.79/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.86
-17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
247 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Malavan FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.01.2025 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
27.09.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
23.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
01.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
22.02.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
10.11.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavan FC nicked a narrow win over Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malavan FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan FC?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-2 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 45%, draw 28%, Malavan FC 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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