Malavan FC 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.05
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.35
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 30%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.36/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.48
+18% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
8 Corners 2
23.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
01.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
22.02.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
10.11.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
17.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
26.01.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 4-0 HT 2-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavan FC nicked a narrow win over Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Malavan FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malavan FC and 1.67 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Malavan FC 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 40%, draw 26%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malavan FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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