Aluminium Arak 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.3
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.89/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak edged past Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminium Arak as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Aluminium Arak 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 47%, draw 29%, Kheybar Khorramabad 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminium Arak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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