Nublense 1-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Boston River
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.15 xG 1.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
334 Passes 232
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-1
AWAY Boston River
1.32 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
247 Passes 250
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense and Boston River shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nublense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nublense had 50% of the ball to Boston River's 50%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.32 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Boston River?

Nublense 1-1 Boston River in the Copa Libertadores on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nublense 42%, draw 25%, Boston River 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nublense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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