Matagalpa 2-1 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.35/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.51
-28% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rancho Santana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
04.11.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
25.08.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Rancho Santana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Matagalpa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Matagalpa and 0.50 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

Matagalpa 2-1 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 52%, draw 23%, Rancho Santana 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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