Gil Vicente 0-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.05
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
7%
11.85
X/2
21%
4.21
X/X
9%
4.76
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.98
2/X
11%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 62%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-100% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -34%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.67 xG 2.13
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
318 Passes 503
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
12.04.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-4 HT 0-4 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
04.12.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
30.09.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
01.05.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP
0.95 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
335 Passes 473
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP nicked a narrow win over Gil Vicente 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 43% of the ball to Sporting CP's 57%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.95 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gil Vicente and 2.33 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Gil Vicente 0-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 24%, draw 27%, Sporting CP 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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