Norwich City U21 4-2 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.27/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.36
+5% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stoke City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
531 Passes 227
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 0-3 HT 0-0 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 INGPL2
08.01.2024 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 4-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City U21
4-2
AWAY Stoke City U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City U21 beat Stoke City U21 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Norwich City U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Norwich City U21 had 54% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 46%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stoke City U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Norwich City U21 and 3.50 for Stoke City U21.

What was the final score of Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Norwich City U21 4-2 Stoke City U21 in the INGPL2 on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Norwich City U21 41%, draw 24%, Stoke City U21 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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