Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Feb 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0 HT 0-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅27/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.86/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.03
+9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.9 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
497 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.06.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
07.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
04.11.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
03.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
30.08.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.13 xG 0.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
353 Passes 166
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg squeezed past Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 63% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 37%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 54%, draw 30%, Baltika Kaliningrad 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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