Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 3-0 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Feb 2026

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
3-0 HT 1-0
EGS Gafsa
📅27/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs EGS Gafsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.29
No
46%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.5pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer v EGS Gafsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.33/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.16
-21% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 3-0 EGS Gafsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
3-0
AWAY EGS Gafsa
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer ran out comfortable winners over EGS Gafsa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer had 64% of the ball to EGS Gafsa's 36%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs EGS Gafsa?

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 3-0 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 62%, draw 23%, EGS Gafsa 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) ✗ BTTS Yes
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