Msaken 2-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+8.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
0.95/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.37
-33% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
3W-1D-2L
AWAY EM Mahdia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 EM Mahdia 1-2 HT 0-1 Msaken Msaken TUN2
09.03.2025 EM Mahdia 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
16.11.2024 Msaken Msaken 1-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
01.04.2023 Msaken Msaken 1-0 HT 0-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
20.11.2022 EM Mahdia 2-1 HT 2-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
05.03.2022 EM Mahdia 1-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2A
POST-MATCH Msaken vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken beat EM Mahdia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Msaken as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Msaken had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Msaken and 0.67 for EM Mahdia.

What was the final score of Msaken vs EM Mahdia?

Msaken 2-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Msaken 45%, draw 32%, EM Mahdia 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Msaken), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Msaken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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