Canberra United (K) 1-0 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 27 Mar 2024

Canberra United (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Sydney (K)
📅27/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+2.6pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
65%
Away Win
70%
-4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Sydney (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.56/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.48
+134% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -33%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 84%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
14.4 Crosses 26.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2017 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 1-0 Sydney (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-0
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.49 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
230 Passes 223
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) edged past Sydney (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sydney (K) at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 51% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 49%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.49 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.33 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-0 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 16%, draw 19%, Sydney (K) 65%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sydney (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →