Dewa United 4-1 Persita Tangerang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 29%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.56/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.74
-11% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Persita Tangerang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.09.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-0 HT 1-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
22.01.2023 Dewa United Dewa United 3-2 HT 1-1 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
07.08.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-0 HT 0-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs Persita Tangerang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United swept aside Persita Tangerang 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dewa United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Persita Tangerang led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dewa United and 1.33 for Persita Tangerang.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs Persita Tangerang?

Dewa United 4-1 Persita Tangerang in the Indonesia League 1 on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs Persita Tangerang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 48%, draw 25%, Persita Tangerang 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dewa United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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