Ayacucho FC vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ayacucho FC v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Ayacucho FC vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Ayacucho FC
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Ayacucho FC
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Ayacucho FC
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Ayacucho FC
PER
Ayacucho FC 2-3 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar squeezed past Ayacucho FC 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ayacucho FC had 44% of the ball to Melgar's 56%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ayacucho FC and 0.83 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Melgar?
Ayacucho FC 2-3 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 23%, draw 26%, Melgar 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.