Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.14/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.84
+6% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.8 Crosses 25.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.71 xG 1.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
159 Passes 296
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 0
31.07.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
19.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
27.08.2021 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PERU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2-2
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.21 xG 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
287 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos and Atletico Grau couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 52% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.21 to 2.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 3.00 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?

Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 31%, draw 28%, Atletico Grau 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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