Atletico Grau 3-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.58/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.86
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
25.2 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
311 Passes 167
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
19.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
27.08.2021 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PERU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
3-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.41 xG 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 0
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
281 Passes 151
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau ran out comfortable winners over Comerciantes Unidos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 61% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 39%, shots finished 18-0, expected goals 2.41 to 0.00.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Atletico Grau 3-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 54%, draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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