Alianza Lima vs Union Comercio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Union Comercio — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Union Comercio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
1-3
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
2-3
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
1-3
HT 1-2
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Lima 1-0 Union Comercio — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Union Comercio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 68% of the ball to Union Comercio's 32%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 0.62 to 0.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.17 for Union Comercio.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Union Comercio?
Alianza Lima 1-0 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Union Comercio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 59%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.