Cultural San 3-3 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
+58% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
29.4 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.96 xG 2.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
325 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 3-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
3-3
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.01 xG 2.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
294 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San and Sporting Cristal couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cultural San at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cultural San had 56% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 44%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.01 to 2.05.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Sporting Cristal?

Cultural San 3-3 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 44%, draw 28%, Sporting Cristal 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cultural San) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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