Juventud 0-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.53/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.73
+72% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
21.09.2019 Juventud Juventud 1-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
0-2
AWAY CA Penarol
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventud vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol saw off Juventud 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Juventud had 58% of the ball to CA Penarol's 42%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of Juventud vs CA Penarol?

Juventud 0-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Juventud 22%, draw 26%, CA Penarol 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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