Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
60%
Away Win
62%
-2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.78/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.09
-61% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
11.6 Crosses 12.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.52 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
168 Passes 408
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2025 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) ALKB
15.03.2025 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
13.10.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
1-1
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.83 xG 2.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 9
173 Passes 339
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) and RB Leipzig (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RB Leipzig (K) at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) had 38% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 62%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 0.83 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena (K) and 1.67 for RB Leipzig (K).

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 18%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig (K) 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →