Bolivya 2-1 Surinam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 27 Mar 2026

Bolivya
2-1 HT 0-0
Surinam
📅27/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Bolivya vs Surinam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.2
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.63
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
16%
5.91
X/X
12%
3.59
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.7
2/X EV+ ✗
14%
14.3
Value flag · 2/X at 14.3 — our 14% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolivya v Surinam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Surinam EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.61/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.87
+61% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.3 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bolivya 2-1 Surinam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya
2-1
AWAY Surinam
1.98 xG 2.37
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
426 Passes 193
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bolivya vs Surinam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivya edged past Surinam 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Bolivya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bolivya had 63% of the ball to Surinam's 37%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.98 to 2.37.

What was the final score of Bolivya vs Surinam?

Bolivya 2-1 Surinam in the World Cup Qualifiers on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya vs Surinam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivya win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bolivya 35%, draw 33%, Surinam 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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