Şili 4-2 Yeşil Burun Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 24%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
+29% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +72%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili
4-2
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları
2.37 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
356 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şili vs Yeşil Burun Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili beat Yeşil Burun Adaları 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Şili as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili had 52% of the ball to Yeşil Burun Adaları's 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 2.37 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Şili vs Yeşil Burun Adaları?

Şili 4-2 Yeşil Burun Adaları in the Friendlies on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili vs Yeşil Burun Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Şili 55%, draw 23%, Yeşil Burun Adaları 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şili) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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