Hırvatistan 2-1 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.36
6+ Goals
6%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 35% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.17
1/2
5%
24.8
1/X
11%
13.55
X/1
7%
7.07
X/2
20%
4.79
X/X
9%
4.64
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.83
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 49%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.75
-100% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
Crosses 12.7
Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
2-1
AWAY Kolombiya
1.22 xG 2.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
390 Passes 550
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
19 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan nicked a narrow win over Kolombiya 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kolombiya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 42% of the ball to Kolombiya's 58%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.22 to 2.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Kolombiya?

Hırvatistan 2-1 Kolombiya in the Friendlies on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 29%, draw 26%, Kolombiya 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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