Cebelitarık U21 0-1 Bulgaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
78%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.46
Over 2.5
56%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
7.29
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.28
6+ Goals
7%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
37%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
5%
+4.9pp
13%
Draw
8%
+5.3pp
78%
Away Win
88%
-10.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
25%
+18.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
75%
-18.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cebelitarık U21 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 94%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.21/3.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.90
-66% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -39%
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
189 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 84%
5.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cebelitarık U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bulgaristan U21
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.02 xG 5.38
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
58 Passes 498
37% Pass Accuracy 87%
1 Crosses 44
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2025 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 3-0 HT 3-0 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 U21
11.06.2022 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 U21
08.10.2021 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 5-0 HT 4-0 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cebelitarık U21
0-1
AWAY Bulgaristan U21
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cebelitarık U21 vs Bulgaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan U21 edged past Cebelitarık U21 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bulgaristan U21 as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Cebelitarık U21 had 34% of the ball to Bulgaristan U21's 66%, shots finished 3-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cebelitarık U21 and 3.00 for Bulgaristan U21.

What was the final score of Cebelitarık U21 vs Bulgaristan U21?

Cebelitarık U21 0-1 Bulgaristan U21 in the European U21 on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cebelitarık U21 vs Bulgaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bulgaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Cebelitarık U21 10%, draw 13%, Bulgaristan U21 78%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulgaristan U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bulgaristan U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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