Norveç U21 3-2 Hollanda U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.27/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.75
+91% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
18.1 Crosses 15.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç U21
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Hollanda U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.25 xG 1.79
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
285 Passes 572
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2024 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 1-2 HT 1-1 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 HAZ
25.03.2023 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 HAZ
08.09.2020 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 U21
15.10.2019 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 0-4 HT 0-1 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç U21
3-2
AWAY Hollanda U21
0.88 xG 1.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 482
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norveç U21 vs Hollanda U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç U21 edged past Hollanda U21 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda U21 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Norveç U21 had 40% of the ball to Hollanda U21's 60%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.88 to 1.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hollanda U21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hollanda U21 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Norveç U21 and 2.50 for Hollanda U21.

What was the final score of Norveç U21 vs Hollanda U21?

Norveç U21 3-2 Hollanda U21 in the European U21 on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç U21 vs Hollanda U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Norveç U21 35%, draw 23%, Hollanda U21 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hollanda U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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