Hollanda U21 1-2 Norveç U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
14%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.80/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.80
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
8.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda U21
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Norveç U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.88 xG 1.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
557 Passes 285
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.03.2023 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 HAZ
08.09.2020 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 U21
15.10.2019 Norveç U21 Norveç U21 0-4 HT 0-1 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda U21
1-2
AWAY Norveç U21
1.50 xG 1.57
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
616 Passes 285
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hollanda U21 vs Norveç U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç U21 nicked a narrow win over Hollanda U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Hollanda U21 carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda U21 had 66% of the ball to Norveç U21's 34%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.50 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hollanda U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hollanda U21 and 0.00 for Norveç U21.

What was the final score of Hollanda U21 vs Norveç U21?

Hollanda U21 1-2 Norveç U21 in the Friendlies on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda U21 vs Norveç U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hollanda U21 58%, draw 19%, Norveç U21 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hollanda U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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