Union Berlin 3-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.95
2-3 Goals
34%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
2.01/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.84/2.00
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.81 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
262 Passes 208
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2019 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-0 HT 2-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
09.12.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
3-1
AWAY Magdeburg
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin beat Magdeburg 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Berlin had 39% of the ball to Magdeburg's 61%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Berlin and 0.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Magdeburg?

Union Berlin 3-1 Magdeburg in the Friendlies on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 44%, draw 24%, Magdeburg 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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