21/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Utrecht vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
23%
Draw
19%
19%
Away Win
14%
41%
Under 2.5
40%
59%
Over 2.5
60%
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
48%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Utrecht
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Helmond Sport
EU Bookmakers 17%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
3.65/0.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.27
+86%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
+48%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
17
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
349 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 76%
26.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
12.0
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Utrecht vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Utrecht swept aside Helmond Sport 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Utrecht 3-0 Helmond Sport in the Friendlies on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 58%, draw 23%, Helmond Sport 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Utrecht)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
21 Mar 2024