21/03/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Alianza Lima vs Blooming Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
30%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Blooming — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alianza Lima
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Blooming
EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% /
-13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+49% /
+49%
0.50/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
-69%
/
+18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+62%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
272 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Alianza Lima vs Blooming
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alianza Lima squeezed past Blooming 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Alianza Lima made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Blooming?
Alianza Lima 1-0 Blooming in the Friendlies on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Blooming?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 35%, draw 30%, Blooming 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
21 Mar 2024