Heidenheim 0-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.33
2-3 Goals
39%
2.11
4-5 Goals
24%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.47/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.07
+35% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 298
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 5-2 HT 2-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.09.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
15.05.2022 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0 HT 2-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
12.12.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
23.05.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
23.01.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC nicked a narrow win over Heidenheim 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Heidenheim at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Heidenheim had 55% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 45%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Heidenheim and 1.33 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Karlsruher SC?

Heidenheim 0-1 Karlsruher SC in the Friendlies on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 50%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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