Shanghai Port 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.71
2-3 Goals
43%
2.15
4-5 Goals
24%
2.49
6+ Goals
10%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
31.0
1/X
10%
11.9
X/1
12%
5.07
X/2
10%
8.57
X/X
11%
6.08
2/1
6%
20.25
2/2
12%
5.02
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 30%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.11/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.06
-47% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +102%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.2 Crosses 14.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
497 Passes 230
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
29.07.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 0-5 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
29.06.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
08.06.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
07.11.2021 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
1-1
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.22 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
289 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port and Shanghai Shenhua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Port at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 49% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 51%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.00 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Shanghai Port 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 43%, draw 27%, Shanghai Shenhua 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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