Chelmsford City 2-3 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.53/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.42
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Braintree Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-0 HT 2-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
26.12.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
01.01.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.12.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
08.02.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.12.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-0 HT 3-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
2-3
AWAY Braintree Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past Chelmsford City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 54% of the ball to Braintree Town's 46%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chelmsford City and 0.67 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town?

Chelmsford City 2-3 Braintree Town in the England - Conference on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 45%, draw 27%, Braintree Town 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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