Etoile Carouge 2-2 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
30%
5.71
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-17.6pp
30%
Draw
15%
+15.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +80% / +80%
2.22/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
445 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Luzern II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.10.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 2-2 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-2
AWAY Luzern II
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Luzern II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Carouge carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 57% of the ball to Luzern II's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Luzern II?

Etoile Carouge 2-2 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 57%, draw 30%, Luzern II 13%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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