Kriens 0-1 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.59
Over 2.5
72%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.4pp
28%
Under 2.5
35%
-6.6pp
72%
Over 2.5
65%
+6.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kriens EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.02
-41% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kriens
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugano II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 1-2 HT 1-2 Kriens Kriens İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Kriens vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II squeezed past Kriens 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kriens at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kriens vs Lugano II?

Kriens 0-1 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kriens vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kriens win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kriens 44%, draw 19%, Lugano II 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kriens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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