Fiorentina (K) 4-4 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.94
+117% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
264 Passes 283
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
16.03.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
11.12.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
16.09.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
4-4
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.91 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
292 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) and Sassuolo (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 4-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 48% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 52%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.91 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 1.00 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 4-4 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 46%, draw 29%, Sassuolo (K) 24%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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