Copiapo 0-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Copiapo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.49/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.56
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.6 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Copiapo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.30 xG 2.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
212 Passes 310
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
15.05.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-4 HT 0-2 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Copiapo
0-1
AWAY U. Catolica
0.74 xG 0.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
191 Passes 359
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Copiapo vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica edged past Copiapo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day U. Catolica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Copiapo had 40% of the ball to U. Catolica's 60%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.74 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Copiapo and 3.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Copiapo vs U. Catolica?

Copiapo 0-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Copiapo vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Copiapo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Copiapo 38%, draw 26%, U. Catolica 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Copiapo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Copiapo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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