O Higgins 2-2 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.61
-36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.9 Crosses 22.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
302 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-3 HT 1-2 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.05.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
09.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
22.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİLİK
18.08.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-3 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
07.05.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 2-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
2-2
AWAY Union Espanola
0.74 xG 1.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
225 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins and Union Espanola shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, O Higgins had 40% of the ball to Union Espanola's 60%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for O Higgins and 1.67 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Union Espanola?

O Higgins 2-2 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 39%, draw 28%, Union Espanola 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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