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Chelsea (K) vs Barcelona (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea (K) v Barcelona (K) — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea (K) vs Barcelona (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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1-1
HT 0-0
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Chelsea (K)
ŞMP-K
0-1
HT 0-1
Barcelona (K)
ŞMP-K
0-4
HT 0-4
Barcelona (K)
ŞMP-K
Chelsea (K) 0-2 Barcelona (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona (K) saw off Chelsea (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Chelsea (K) had 32% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 68%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.72 to 1.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chelsea (K) and 1.50 for Barcelona (K).
What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Barcelona (K)?
Chelsea (K) 0-2 Barcelona (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Barcelona (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 19%, draw 27%, Barcelona (K) 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.