Almagro 1-0 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Apr 2024

Almagro
1-0 HT 1-0
Almirante Brown
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Almagro vs Almirante Brown Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.8pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.2pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Almirante Brown — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.11/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Almagro vs Almirante Brown Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
19.06.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
17.07.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
26.07.2015 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
17.03.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 3-1 HT 3-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro squeezed past Almirante Brown 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Almagro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Almagro and 1.00 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Almirante Brown?

Almagro 1-0 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 37%, draw 35%, Almirante Brown 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almagro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almagro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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