Tristan Suarez 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.26/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.80
+15% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
15.10.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 HT 0-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
09.07.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
28.02.2015 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 3-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros edged past Tristan Suarez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Estudiantes Caseros made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tristan Suarez had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tristan Suarez and 0.50 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Tristan Suarez 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 38%, draw 32%, Estudiantes Caseros 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tristan Suarez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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